Forecasting

I was having a review of the wonderful sales pacing dash and thinking about targets and forecast.

I'm wondering if/how people have gone about forecasting a final position based on prior performances and what they used in formulas.

eg: 

  1. Averaged Total Ticket Count normalised for capacity &/or number of performances. 
  2. Normalising across day of week and matinee/evening
  3. adjusting for relative subs/single (or other segments you use) at a similar point in the sales period

I was keen to play with sames pacing based on an adjusted forecast target.

Can you tell I'm keen for v16 and predictive modeling?

Parents Reply
  • Hi Tracey, 

    You have 11 weeks in the widget and are trying to forecast the next 30 weeks. Forecasting (without an explaining variable) can only output up to 10% of the number of periods in the widget. So, with 11 weeks, you can forecast at most 1 week out. If you hit Apply on the widget as you have it, there should be a little, red, lightening bolt on the (i) information bubble. Mouse over it and you'll see errors similar to this:

Children